Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.198797 0.220566 0.242968 0.267693 0.294163 0.321601 0.352140
2024-12-22 0.168978 0.198616 0.230324 0.266600 0.306781 0.349758 0.399028
2024-12-29 0.151030 0.186468 0.225637 0.271784 0.324303 0.381862 0.449356
2025-01-05 0.134212 0.173497 0.218244 0.272374 0.335467 0.406089 0.490504
2025-01-12 0.120097 0.162123 0.211347 0.272345 0.344975 0.427791 0.528436
2025-01-19 0.107396 0.151188 0.203872 0.270647 0.351734 0.445761 0.561740
2025-01-26 0.098557 0.144181 0.200413 0.273130 0.362963 0.468654 0.600680
2025-02-02 0.093019 0.140830 0.201033 0.280253 0.379574 0.497871 0.647225
2025-02-09 0.085416 0.134125 0.196855 0.280906 0.387885 0.516897 0.681522
2025-02-16 0.080807 0.131042 0.197024 0.286818 0.402583 0.543657 0.725283
2025-02-23 0.077078 0.128850 0.198111 0.293730 0.418453 0.571890 0.771013
2025-03-02 0.070164 0.121647 0.192043 0.290877 0.421553 0.584068 0.796900
2025-03-09 0.065053 0.116824 0.189110 0.292215 0.430267 0.603684 0.832691
2025-03-16 0.059527 0.110972 0.184395 0.290855 0.435249 0.618484 0.862493
2025-03-23 0.056581 0.108814 0.184722 0.296258 0.449118 0.644674 0.906825
2025-03-30 0.052464 0.104515 0.181710 0.296824 0.456392 0.662338 0.940408
2025-04-06 0.048522 0.100193 0.178405 0.296758 0.462662 0.678636 0.972283
2025-04-13 0.044454 0.095343 0.174036 0.294933 0.466353 0.691459 0.999678
2025-04-20 0.041823 0.092706 0.172849 0.297562 0.476099 0.712261 1.037504
2025-04-27 0.040552 0.092317 0.175056 0.305126 0.492744 0.742332 1.087623
2025-05-04 0.037803 0.089109 0.172694 0.305817 0.499692 0.759461 1.120888
2025-05-11 0.036458 0.088330 0.174104 0.312096 0.514544 0.787286 1.168405
2025-05-18 0.035413 0.088023 0.176224 0.319435 0.530952 0.817328 1.219062